bothisattvas
0x01d813a02fb96e3602898284bbcb7f5d3023e32d
- Realised P&L
- $-408.63
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $180.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.456 | 0.470 | $108.30 | +$3.30 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.190 | $57.40 | +$11.92 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.940 | $14.49 | +$7.86 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.03 |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.40at 0.323Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$84.86at 0.078Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$32.30at 0.920Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$28.04at 0.780U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$19.10at 0.775Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 03:45 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4556603766 | $105.00 |
| 10-26 03:45 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $105.18 |
| 10-12 16:58 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999803 | $1.38 |
| 10-12 16:56 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $44.10 |
| 09-21 11:54 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.50 |
| 09-21 11:53 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.56 |
| 09-21 11:53 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-21 11:43 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 11:43 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.93 | $20.10 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.74 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.61 |
| 09-21 09:53 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.97 | $35.89 |
| 09-21 08:11 | Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-20 10:52 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.70 |
| 09-20 10:10 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |