PolyBot

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Traders

lucianoprado

0x01d45bfdb9519d50f357fab8c9658922719fc194

Realised P&L
$-80.88
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
902
Open portfolio
$23.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded902
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.1800.051$15.34$39.47
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8380.938$7.66+$0.81
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 01:20Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$1.45
09-06 01:19Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.59
05-18 21:18Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.94$23.64
05-13 21:02Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1089999821$5.00
05-13 21:02Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1085116049$40.00
05-13 21:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2670384924$26.64
05-13 20:58Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1114907613$20.00
04-12 16:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.171$1.07
04-02 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.48$2.78
04-02 03:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.93
04-02 02:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.4899999951$2.78
04-02 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.4599997608$0.92
04-01 01:32Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.023999977$1.00
04-01 01:12Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.025$10.00
04-01 01:10Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.025$10.00