CreamCream1215
0x01ced860d8dca5d7987579d2a2635df8520d27a2
- Realised P&L
- $17.4k
- Volume
- $610.4k
- Markets traded
- 738
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded738
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.126Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
- +$861.64at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
- +$721.79at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$665.88at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
- +$644.44at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 08-05 17:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.632 | $189.60 |
| 08-05 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.138 | $6.90 |
| 08-05 12:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 08-05 11:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.69 | $82.80 |
| 08-05 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6366666667 | $19.10 |
| 08-05 11:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3016106667 | $45.24 |
| 08-05 10:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4732 | $47.32 |
| 08-05 10:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4953933333 | $22.29 |
| 08-05 10:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-05 10:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.318 | $63.60 |
| 08-05 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $128.90 |
| 08-05 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3612864103 | $69.71 |
| 08-05 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.428839 | $85.77 |
| 08-05 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5189914538 | $103.84 |