PolyBot

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Traders

CreamCream1215

0x01ced860d8dca5d7987579d2a2635df8520d27a2

Realised P&L
$18.6k
Volume
$747.2k
Markets traded
937
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded937
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? · Yes0.3180.999$703.94+$480.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? · Yes0.2500.415$124.50+$49.55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.7660.998$99.75+$23.12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.6040.610$73.20+$0.77
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.2100.250$50.00+$8.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.3120.120$12.00$19.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.4480.002$1.56$347.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.4110.001$0.10$82.16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.5710.001$0.06$68.51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.1790.001$0.02$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00$25.89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 8? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$81.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$97.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 10? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$7.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.633945$12.68
09-20 15:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.5933333333$17.80
09-20 14:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.5134266667$15.40
09-20 14:22Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.3644666667$10.93
09-20 14:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.5993$59.93
09-20 13:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.29$20.30
09-20 09:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.2498333333$74.95
09-20 05:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.67$40.20
09-20 05:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.61987$12.40
09-20 05:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.5992$59.92
09-20 05:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.54$2.70
09-20 05:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.472691539$7.10
09-20 05:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.47$2.35
09-20 05:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.4552$13.66
09-20 05:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.48$8.16