CreamCream1215
0x01ced860d8dca5d7987579d2a2635df8520d27a2
- Realised P&L
- $18.6k
- Volume
- $747.2k
- Markets traded
- 937
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded937
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.130Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
- +$846.04at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
- +$716.64at 0.119Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$697.61at 0.454Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?
- +$658.57at 0.434Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.633945 | $12.68 |
| 09-20 15:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5933333333 | $17.80 |
| 09-20 14:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.5134266667 | $15.40 |
| 09-20 14:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3644666667 | $10.93 |
| 09-20 14:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5993 | $59.93 |
| 09-20 13:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.29 | $20.30 |
| 09-20 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2498333333 | $74.95 |
| 09-20 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.67 | $40.20 |
| 09-20 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.61987 | $12.40 |
| 09-20 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5992 | $59.92 |
| 09-20 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-20 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.472691539 | $7.10 |
| 09-20 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-20 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4552 | $13.66 |
| 09-20 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.16 |