0x01c7a8335794ac020a0bec54c80bbad91e52d8bd
0x01c7a8335794ac020a0bec54c80bbad91e52d8bd
- Realised P&L
- $25.71
- Volume
- $62.83
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar40.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys Team Total: O/U 30.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$7.05 |
| Patriots vs. Browns · Patriots | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
| Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse · Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti · Juncheng Shang | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| 49ers vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.69 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.14 |
| Rams vs. Chargers · Chargers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.81 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.500San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$6.11at 0.552Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$5.50at 0.532St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$4.81at 0.500Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$4.35at 0.661San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 03:06 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.52 | $6.12 |
| 09-05 20:57 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5999999756 | $4.91 |
| 09-05 20:56 | Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.67 | $6.32 |
| 09-04 20:43 | San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.6499999883 | $8.35 |
| 09-03 15:50 | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5399999722 | $7.37 |
| 08-31 22:25 | US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.71 | $4.93 |