0xEc50Ce689F848369508aaf77c1842c56aB283bB2-1768137997984
0x01c4bef989911744c642367bf3543091ed964e02
- Realised P&L
- $-95.99
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $184.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.09at 0.198U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$38.00at 0.686Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$37.55at 0.743US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$22.08at 0.698Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$20.43at 0.183Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-20 08:57 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-19 18:35 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.08 |
| 10-19 12:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 10-19 12:15 | Paris curfew by October 31? | SELL | 0.4316666667 | $12.95 |
| 10-18 15:41 | Paris curfew by October 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 10-18 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:17 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.543 | $10.86 |
| 10-16 06:15 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.542 | $5.42 |
| 10-16 06:15 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.542 | $10.84 |
| 10-15 19:02 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 12:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.087 | $6.67 |
| 10-15 12:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 10-14 04:17 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.285 | $18.52 |