PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEc50Ce689F848369508aaf77c1842c56aB283bB2-1768137997984

0x01c4bef989911744c642367bf3543091ed964e02

Realised P&L
$-95.99
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$184.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.7080.966$88.03+$23.51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.7090.895$62.65+$13.05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.595$8.93+$0.97
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.8500.865$8.65+$0.15
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2400.280$8.40+$1.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.0870.074$7.45−$1.25
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0490.028$0.60−$0.47
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · No0.0750.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? · Up0.8100.000$0.00−$4.86
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.5870.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 14:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$17.60
10-20 08:57Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.85$8.50
10-19 18:35Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.049$1.08
10-19 12:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$26.40
10-19 12:15Paris curfew by October 31?SELL0.4316666667$12.95
10-18 15:41Paris curfew by October 31?BUY0.11$3.30
10-18 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-18 12:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-16 06:17Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.543$10.86
10-16 06:15Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.542$5.42
10-16 06:15Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.542$10.84
10-15 19:02Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.8499997025$1.00
10-15 12:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.087$6.67
10-15 12:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.993$9.93
10-14 04:17Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.285$18.52