vukao
0x01c197e7de74c9ecc3ff22e9ba8aeff7f15edbf6
- Realised P&L
- $-191.59
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $10.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.050 | $10.71 | −$4.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.32at 0.829Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$-0.59at 0.537Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$-14.24at 0.359Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?
- +$-15.38at 0.369Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$-189.70at 0.059Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:49 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 00:47 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | SELL | 0.19 | $15.43 |
| 09-22 12:22 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $28.43 |
| 09-22 12:17 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0141084292 | $27.64 |
| 09-21 13:49 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0586756894 | $106.00 |
| 09-21 13:35 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.058934517 | $9.00 |
| 09-21 13:17 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.485 | $4.60 |
| 09-21 13:17 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0483383222 | $111.65 |
| 09-21 13:01 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0926482413 | $214.00 |
| 09-21 13:00 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.9564647549 | $214.79 |
| 09-17 01:52 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8228755358 | $184.80 |
| 09-17 01:28 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.35 | $190.12 |
| 09-17 00:58 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3599999996 | $195.55 |
| 09-15 14:18 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.526999952 | $5.00 |