0x01b933ea495e7C143157fC20bc90669270C9E342-1768909546335
0x01b933ea495e7c143157fc20bc90669270c9e342
- Realised P&L
- $-554.28
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $37.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $37.09 | −$28.84 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$422.95at 0.719Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?
- +$357.00at 0.240US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$111.98at 0.500US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$64.32at 0.580Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?
- +$30.81at 0.420US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-01 16:38 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $153.35 |
| 02-01 11:35 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01? | BUY | 0.58 | $89.03 |
| 01-31 17:34 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $1.0k |
| 01-31 17:34 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $500.00 |
| 01-31 16:52 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 01-31 15:32 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $583.95 |
| 01-31 15:32 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31? | SELL | 0.75 | $583.94 |
| 01-31 13:32 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $591.73 |
| 01-31 13:31 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $500.00 |
| 01-31 13:30 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.455295917 | $397.42 |
| 01-30 11:39 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $73.33 |
| 01-29 21:24 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.61 | $620.98 |
| 01-29 20:58 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.5 | $509.00 |
| 01-29 20:56 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 20:54 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.58 | $609.00 |