Piebaguette
0x01b6dbfb9d9790e1a0bd432403b34abb59e9d944
- Realised P&L
- $-17.59
- Volume
- $79.29
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $45.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.715 | $10.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.715 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.685 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.590 | $9.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.675 | $5.56 | −$1.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.41at 0.820Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$-10.00at 0.480Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$-10.00at 0.640Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:33 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 20:26 | Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 20:26 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 18:12 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 18:10 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 18:09 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 18:01 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 17:45 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |