yvanovic
0x01a92cb2264adc6ff3d9dbaaad8d38d5170933f6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $70.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $930.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.130 | $684.99 | +$95.20 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.034 | $245.80 | +$38.24 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$231.72 |
| Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election? · No | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$317.15 |
| Macron out in 2025? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.19 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.58at 0.332Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
- +$41.31at 0.455Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
- +$21.30at 0.190Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$5.00at 0.080Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
- +$-19.02at 0.260Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 17:57 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0288405169 | $201.51 |
| 05-13 11:20 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $307.51 |
| 03-20 10:05 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.2599999904 | $19.02 |
| 03-20 10:04 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $19.02 |
| 03-06 19:57 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0028679291 | $27.78 |
| 02-28 13:37 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $118.72 |
| 02-12 19:06 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0100699146 | $33.04 |
| 02-04 19:08 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0086168705 | $19.10 |
| 02-04 19:07 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 02-04 19:05 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0410706352 | $30.69 |
| 01-31 10:53 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999973 | $39.57 |
| 01-31 10:52 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0233753709 | $15.75 |
| 01-31 10:50 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999987 | $80.00 |
| 01-22 15:19 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0106774034 | $30.96 |
| 01-22 15:17 | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.88 |