yvanovic
0x01a92cb2264adc6ff3d9dbaaad8d38d5170933f6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $223.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.021 | $3.3k | −$655.87 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.135 | $911.25 | +$168.75 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$231.72 |
| Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election? · No | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$317.15 |
| Macron out in 2025? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.19 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.58at 0.332Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
- +$41.31at 0.455Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
- +$21.30at 0.190Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$5.00at 0.080Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
- +$-19.02at 0.260Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:48 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $105.69 |
| 11-01 05:11 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $82.33 |
| 10-31 13:09 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $242.02 |
| 10-28 11:17 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $79.00 |
| 10-28 07:35 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $168.50 |
| 10-28 07:34 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $247.50 |
| 10-25 06:12 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0247706252 | $100.25 |
| 10-25 01:09 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $253.76 |
| 10-24 06:24 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.024 | $154.69 |
| 10-23 08:43 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $54.00 |
| 10-23 06:24 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $17.53 |
| 10-22 17:32 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $21.60 |
| 10-22 16:20 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $41.80 |
| 10-22 11:10 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $60.45 |
| 10-22 06:29 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $64.59 |