PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

yvanovic

0x01a92cb2264adc6ff3d9dbaaad8d38d5170933f6

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$70.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$930.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1120.130$684.99+$95.20
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0290.034$245.80+$38.24
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No0.2000.000$0.00$16.20
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? · No0.0300.000$0.00$231.72
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election? · No0.1580.000$0.00$317.15
Macron out in 2025? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$174.19
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.1400.000$0.00$73.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 17:57Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0288405169$201.51
05-13 11:20Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1099999997$307.51
03-20 10:05Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.2599999904$19.02
03-20 10:04Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.001$19.02
03-06 19:57Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0028679291$27.78
02-28 13:37Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1$118.72
02-12 19:06Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0100699146$33.04
02-04 19:08Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0086168705$19.10
02-04 19:07Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
02-04 19:05Macron out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0410706352$30.69
01-31 10:53Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299999973$39.57
01-31 10:52Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0233753709$15.75
01-31 10:50Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299999987$80.00
01-22 15:19Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0106774034$30.96
01-22 15:17Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.004$0.88