PolyBot

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Traders

topmoon

0x01a5fb1fa13f378138a31382c8364b5d4e2b0e36

Realised P&L
$-699.92
Volume
$664.3k
Markets traded
728
Open portfolio
$413.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded728
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17? · No0.8770.925$122.07+$6.39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17? · No0.8030.865$121.10+$8.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17? · No0.9590.950$95.00−$0.90
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8890.860$37.44−$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17? · No0.9100.875$17.50−$0.70
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.7680.722$10.83−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 17? · Yes0.4900.485$9.70−$0.10
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5 · Over0.6600.000$0.00−$6.60
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$497.21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$298.83
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00−$1.9k
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$4.80
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner · T10.2700.000$0.00−$2.70
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner · T10.5920.000$0.00−$50.35
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 23:34Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?SELL0.85$89.25
10-16 12:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?BUY0.81$32.40
10-16 11:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?BUY0.8$80.00
10-16 11:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?SELL0.92$32.43
10-16 10:40Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?BUY0.79$35.55
10-16 09:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?BUY0.9$49.50
10-16 09:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?BUY0.86$22.57
10-16 09:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?BUY0.85$5.67
10-16 08:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?BUY0.85$36.89
10-16 06:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?SELL0.57$6.22
10-16 06:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?SELL0.32$4.16
10-16 06:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?SELL0.38$3.50
10-16 06:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.96$14.40
10-16 06:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.92$46.00
10-16 06:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.91$45.63