Yordanianatorist
0x019471384e276fc89da5d0982bbf303624425965
- Realised P&L
- $-131.45
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 225
- Open portfolio
- $5.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded225
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.228 | 0.055 | $2.89 | −$9.11 |
| Will New Zealand First Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.625 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.595 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.180 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Down | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.27at 0.052Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$22.00at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$16.91at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$16.67at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$14.84at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 10:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999798 | $6.85 |
| 06-05 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.43 |
| 06-05 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 09:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 08:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 07:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $1.14 |
| 06-05 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $1.44 |
| 06-05 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 07:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $1.25 |