JSG3
0x0191d054a638baf04c1002fc1e11b0978dd0541d
- Realised P&L
- $43.6k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $313.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.4kat 0.578Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$13.7kat 0.882Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$9.8kat 0.744Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$8.5kat 0.231Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.4kat 0.865Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:48 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 10-31 05:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.0k |
| 10-31 05:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.6k |
| 10-31 00:43 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.1k |
| 10-31 00:14 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $516.49 |
| 10-30 16:17 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.18 |
| 10-30 16:10 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0243132695 | $88.87 |
| 10-30 14:08 | Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.9079701493 | $304.17 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.6882468643 | $96.57 |
| 10-29 17:43 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $190.80 |
| 10-29 15:18 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.9k |
| 10-29 02:45 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.8k |
| 10-28 17:09 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.59 | $590.00 |
| 10-28 16:57 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $96.6k |
| 10-27 23:25 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |