todor1234
0x018c8fa566d57919a3317e7aa4349b0c66bebbea
- Realised P&L
- $261.39
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $80.15
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.997 | $54.44 | +$0.09 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $6.94 | −$0.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? · No | 0.959 | 0.964 | $5.85 | +$0.03 |
| Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $5.81 | −$0.03 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.971 | $3.58 | −$0.00 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? · No | 0.990 | 0.993 | $3.54 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.65at 0.651Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$22.15at 0.939Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$17.42at 0.963No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
- +$14.70at 0.753Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?
- +$8.55at 0.986Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:06 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.94 |
| 09-18 06:00 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949994432 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 03:55 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949999813 | $6.92 |
| 09-18 03:55 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949998654 | $6.69 |
| 09-18 03:55 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949999453 | $6.91 |
| 09-18 03:25 | Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.9709999813 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.9709999906 | $2.49 |
| 09-18 03:09 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 03:09 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.44 |
| 09-18 02:18 | Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999936 | $5.84 |
| 09-18 00:01 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949994432 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949994432 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949994432 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949994432 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9949994432 | $1.09 |