linken24
0x018a3bd5cf009aee69d5d67b87f8b6e2aa2ede09
- Realised P&L
- $277.56
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $56.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.700 | $56.83 | +$8.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$368.32at 0.470Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$144.00at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$138.42at 0.197Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$107.11at 0.743Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$89.56at 0.539Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $76.00 |
| 07-28 11:53 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $32.60 |
| 07-28 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $47.80 |
| 07-23 12:41 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $6.69 |
| 07-23 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2315867659 | $17.43 |
| 07-23 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $43.94 |
| 07-23 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $16.86 |
| 07-23 12:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $3.04 |
| 07-23 12:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $39.24 |
| 06-27 11:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $59.19 |
| 06-07 13:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $13.62 |
| 06-07 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0118770693 | $1.45 |
| 06-07 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.15 |
| 06-07 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $45.49 |
| 06-07 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $40.78 |