0x017D93A5D6d1ea00d9Eb21716Aa856F9b6b38BAd-1768484391139
0x017d93a5d6d1ea00d9eb21716aa856f9b6b38bad
- Realised P&L
- $-218.42
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $2.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.977 | 0.941 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.960 | 0.665 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.974 | 0.594 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.830 | 0.275 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.870 | 0.073 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.57 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season · Alter Ego | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.54 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 27? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21? · No | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$177.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.17at 0.831Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$7.81at 0.932Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$7.25at 0.903Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31?
- +$7.04at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 10:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $42.57 |
| 09-19 10:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.51 | $43.47 |
| 09-19 10:13 | Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:12 | Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.99 |
| 09-11 22:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999985 | $58.82 |
| 08-28 02:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.820999989 | $49.47 |
| 08-19 16:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $177.54 |
| 08-08 00:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.87 | $178.86 |
| 08-01 07:41 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | SELL | 0.8890738245 | $62.02 |
| 07-19 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9269999999 | $106.00 |
| 07-19 02:30 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31? | SELL | 0.975 | $100.43 |
| 07-09 10:31 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $60.00 |
| 07-06 04:45 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.01 |
| 07-06 01:23 | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | SELL | 0.25 | $125.25 |