0x017D93A5D6d1ea00d9Eb21716Aa856F9b6b38BAd-1768484391139
0x017d93a5d6d1ea00d9eb21716aa856f9b6b38bad
- Realised P&L
- $-130.41
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $76.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.17at 0.831Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$7.81at 0.932Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$7.25at 0.903Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31?
- +$7.04at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999985 | $58.82 |
| 08-28 02:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.820999989 | $49.47 |
| 08-19 16:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $177.54 |
| 08-08 00:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.87 | $178.86 |
| 08-01 07:41 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | SELL | 0.8890738245 | $62.02 |
| 07-19 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9269999999 | $106.00 |
| 07-19 02:30 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31? | SELL | 0.975 | $100.43 |
| 07-09 10:31 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $60.00 |
| 07-06 04:45 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.01 |
| 07-06 01:23 | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | SELL | 0.25 | $125.25 |
| 07-06 00:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 6? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-06 00:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6? | SELL | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 07-06 00:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 6? | SELL | 0.91 | $73.44 |
| 07-05 23:49 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6? | SELL | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 07-05 23:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 6? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.86 |