PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Asfalto

0x01785bad4fdd1d55e17279c3612fa6516a5598e2

Realised P&L
$-17.5k
Volume
$76.3k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$299.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1150.036$299.46−$641.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$188.46
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 00:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$59.09
10-23 21:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.769$9.4k
10-21 05:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8069781076$568.00
10-21 05:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8039977808$1.8k
10-21 05:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8$1.2k
10-21 05:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.801$336.42
10-21 05:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8$2.1k
10-04 06:08Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.1015098028$1.1k
10-04 06:06Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0789063579$100.00
10-04 06:01Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0799419584$258.00
10-04 06:00Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0771086299$500.00
10-02 04:04Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3?BUY0.038$93.63
10-02 03:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3?BUY0.032$94.84
08-24 13:12Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1346733462$14.52
08-24 13:10Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1143664988$925.99