Asfalto
0x01785bad4fdd1d55e17279c3612fa6516a5598e2
- Realised P&L
- $-17.5k
- Volume
- $76.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $299.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.036 | $299.46 | −$641.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.46 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-15.3kat 0.781Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $59.09 |
| 10-23 21:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.769 | $9.4k |
| 10-21 05:09 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8069781076 | $568.00 |
| 10-21 05:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8039977808 | $1.8k |
| 10-21 05:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.2k |
| 10-21 05:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.801 | $336.42 |
| 10-21 05:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.1k |
| 10-04 06:08 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.1015098028 | $1.1k |
| 10-04 06:06 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0789063579 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 06:01 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0799419584 | $258.00 |
| 10-04 06:00 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0771086299 | $500.00 |
| 10-02 04:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.038 | $93.63 |
| 10-02 03:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.032 | $94.84 |
| 08-24 13:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1346733462 | $14.52 |
| 08-24 13:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1143664988 | $925.99 |