V1s10n3r
0x016c683d70b0bf712b56aef28c0c18280d2eae19
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $82.0k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $988.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.870 | $957.00 | −$11.00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.095 | $25.00 | −$25.00 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.718 | 0.054 | $4.56 | −$55.44 |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.014 | $1.73 | −$88.27 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$719.91at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$594.81at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$434.46at 0.280Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$388.57at 0.642Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$329.29at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:29 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $968.00 |
| 10-28 12:31 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 12:29 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9510461 | $285.31 |
| 10-27 19:20 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.92 | $276.00 |
| 10-26 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $439.76 |
| 10-26 08:46 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.964506201 | $38.11 |
| 10-26 08:46 | Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9044460489 | $476.02 |
| 10-26 08:46 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | SELL | 0.6117106197 | $336.10 |
| 09-02 21:13 | Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 21:10 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7299999992 | $90.00 |
| 08-30 11:25 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.7299999976 | $75.00 |
| 08-18 18:25 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.8099999982 | $60.00 |
| 08-15 12:44 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9803047258 | $60.00 |
| 08-15 12:40 | Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass? | SELL | 0.9614886115 | $61.63 |
| 07-26 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |