PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0165809f385ab863734db4f9312a9a2caad715b5

Realised P&L
$344.51
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1820.245$1.5k+$374.63
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7900.961$82.68+$14.68
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2080.021$12.80$111.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 14:45Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.16$133.57
05-25 21:13Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.179999999$144.38
05-23 12:39Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1899999995$299.98
05-08 09:28Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1899999992$186.31
04-14 22:18Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.989$194.45
03-31 21:39Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2099999984$92.90
03-31 21:29Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2025105077$30.96
03-31 19:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6299999982$123.87
03-15 20:06Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1932238452$250.23
03-01 20:34Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$69.00
02-01 21:58Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
02-01 14:43Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.7899999985$68.00
02-01 10:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?BUY0.8379999886$5.00