PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

badonde1

0x015ec33cce2b3c31e925d9cbfb582c178c7babb0

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3140.265$1.3k−$235.89
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3500.285$271.43−$61.90
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.3640.000$0.00−$500.00
Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax? · Yes0.5610.000$0.00−$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 19:38Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3499999998$333.33
09-21 08:48Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?BUY0.5610629537$150.00
09-17 14:09Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4730555291$500.00
09-17 07:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999996$300.00
09-17 07:57Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.3640943172$500.00
09-10 09:01Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.269305614$1.0k
05-28 07:33Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7097945224$1.0k
05-12 17:51Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7146376684$1.1k
05-11 13:23Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.668077153$2.0k
09-03 19:13Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?SELL0.992$743.21
08-18 14:07Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?BUY0.7986652429$598.36