PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shapool

0x015923d3bdc6a6fa5917718d91147447e5604f56

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$76.8k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$315.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.3400.415$124.50+$22.50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.3060.298$111.60$3.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3060.690$79.34+$44.18
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28? · No0.9140.000$0.00$371.13
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026? · No0.0860.000$0.00$54.21
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$99.64
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? · No0.2760.000$0.00$37.28
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026? · No0.8290.000$0.00$1.7k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.9320.000$0.00$95.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:49Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3059999918$1.42
09-17 11:45Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.306$113.17
09-17 11:42Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$21.00
09-17 11:38Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$77.00
09-17 11:36Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY0.34$102.00
09-17 11:35Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.983$43.10
09-17 11:35Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.982$87.41
05-03 14:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.53$47.18
05-03 14:28Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$37.64
05-03 14:27Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$8.57
05-03 14:26Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$21.43
05-03 14:26Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$8.74
04-26 10:19MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.5399999992$70.83
04-26 10:05MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?SELL0.94$6.55
04-26 10:04Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?SELL0.8534945522$64.23