PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0157650977DeF7cA5fac29e71E4CE3ecCe915ac4-1777212085185

0x0157650977def7ca5fac29e71e4ce3ecce915ac4

Realised P&L
$-316.56
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
598
Open portfolio
$22.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded598
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? · Yes0.3100.990$8.91+$6.12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.4501.000$6.60+$3.63
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? · Yes0.9300.995$4.97+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22? · Yes0.4520.360$2.38$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.0800.001$0.02$2.98
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.1100.001$0.01$2.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.3200.001$0.00$2.96
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.3230.001$0.00$2.97
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22? · Yes0.3700.001$0.00$2.96
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22? · Yes0.5200.001$0.00$2.65
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.87
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 5? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings · Chennai Super Kings0.3700.000$0.00$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 13:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.93$4.65
09-22 13:56Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22?BUY0.4524341867$2.99
09-22 10:01Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.31$2.79
09-22 08:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.11$2.97
09-22 08:01Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22?BUY0.37$2.96
09-22 02:58Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.08$3.00
09-22 02:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.32$2.96
09-22 02:57Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.45$2.97
09-22 02:57Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.5201851467$2.65
09-22 02:57Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.3229999803$2.97
09-22 01:56Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.6$3.00
09-22 01:56Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.0974683544$3.08
09-21 22:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?BUY0.98$4.90
09-21 15:55Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.31$1.86
09-21 14:55Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 21?BUY0.42$2.10