PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0150619eAEA487D52E3afC66Ad7c45BAA7Ca3677-1780164483229

0x0150619eaea487d52e3afc66ad7c45baa7ca3677

Realised P&L
$-1.11
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$0.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.2000.010$0.20−$3.80
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:38Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.75$15.00
07-19 21:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.932$7.37
07-19 20:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6319999858$5.00
07-16 16:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$20.45
07-15 20:53Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$0.92
07-15 20:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2269998422$1.00
07-15 20:50Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1919826936$5.00
07-15 20:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2249999674$5.00
07-15 20:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2219999706$5.00
07-15 20:49Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1989999692$5.00
07-15 20:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.196$4.29
07-15 20:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.136999962$3.00
07-14 20:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$0.74
07-14 20:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0469999569$1.00
07-14 19:25Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2539999669$5.00