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0x014f47d75443D8821e5854FCef7aF3c778a942d9-1780677295309

0x014f47d75443d8821e5854fcef7af3c778a942d9

Realised P&L
$72.04
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$118.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6200.635$73.66+$1.74
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.2700.340$34.00+$7.00
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes0.3480.205$11.77$8.23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00$65.80
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$39.08
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-08-07? · Yes0.5690.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 17:34Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-08-07?BUY0.5688622684$30.00
07-24 22:58Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.62$71.92
07-24 22:53Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-07-24?BUY0.68$67.99
07-21 15:01Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.3483123257$20.00
07-15 16:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$36.68
07-15 16:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.191$38.20
07-15 16:24Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.228$39.08
07-14 22:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$58.20
07-14 21:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.573$56.35
07-06 16:40Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.329$65.80
07-06 16:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.167$33.40
06-07 01:10Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.67$12.73
06-05 18:15Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.63$31.50