happyelephant17
0x01463eca67b2f1166bd310adbf0cdff716fcb7c7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.95at 0.372Solana Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$96.32at 0.506Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$76.84at 0.558Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$67.91at 0.588Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$63.68at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 00:30 | Hurricanes vs. Flames | BUY | 0.6515980266 | $1.7k |
| 10-19 00:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3549549618 | $232.10 |
| 10-18 08:10 | Solana Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3908216927 | $19.03 |
| 10-18 07:55 | Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5037818631 | $32.61 |
| 10-18 07:40 | ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9219811321 | $97.73 |
| 10-18 07:10 | Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.465 | $9.30 |
| 10-18 07:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4967434568 | $41.19 |
| 10-18 06:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4036842105 | $19.17 |
| 10-18 06:25 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7416350556 | $45.36 |
| 10-18 06:12 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6636363636 | $7.30 |
| 10-18 05:55 | ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 10-18 05:55 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8091874637 | $69.71 |
| 10-18 05:40 | ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7031884058 | $24.26 |
| 10-18 05:11 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9523255814 | $81.90 |
| 10-18 05:11 | Solana Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3673565953 | $13.90 |