0x0145e41e8347982501f6e539225ec00eb7e0d387
0x0145e41e8347982501f6e539225ec00eb7e0d387
- Realised P&L
- $-10.02
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $16.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.960 | $3.42 | +$0.46 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.720 | $3.31 | +$0.37 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.835 | $3.09 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.675 | $3.02 | +$0.47 |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes | 0.794 | 0.755 | $2.05 | −$0.11 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.695 | $1.51 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.74at 0.209Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
- +$15.45at 0.124Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
- +$11.76at 0.507Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner
- +$8.63at 0.533LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.76at 0.634Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:58 | Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799998714 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 10:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.56 |
| 09-21 15:48 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.42 |
| 09-21 15:31 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.769999672 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 13:53 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.53 |
| 09-20 21:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.41 |
| 09-17 13:43 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.8199994837 | $1.08 |
| 09-14 17:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.96 |
| 09-14 15:01 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: C Over/Under 6%? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.09 |
| 09-10 18:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? | BUY | 0.5699998994 | $2.55 |
| 09-10 18:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.89 |
| 09-03 08:45 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.58 |
| 09-03 04:59 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.37 |
| 09-01 14:36 | Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.94 |
| 09-01 08:11 | Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8299999664 | $2.96 |