PolyBot

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Traders

0x0145e41e8347982501f6e539225ec00eb7e0d387

0x0145e41e8347982501f6e539225ec00eb7e0d387

Realised P&L
$-10.02
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$16.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8300.960$3.42+$0.46
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.6400.720$3.31+$0.37
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? · Yes0.8000.835$3.09+$0.13
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? · Yes0.5700.675$3.02+$0.47
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.7940.755$2.05$0.11
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.6800.695$1.51+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 10:58Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.6799998714$1.48
09-22 10:35Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.56
09-21 15:48Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$0.42
09-21 15:31Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.769999672$1.08
09-21 13:53Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$0.53
09-20 21:40Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$1.41
09-17 13:43Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.8199994837$1.08
09-14 17:47Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?BUY0.8$2.96
09-14 15:01Sweden Parliamentary Election: C Over/Under 6%?SELL0.999$4.09
09-10 18:27Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?BUY0.5699998994$2.55
09-10 18:18Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$2.89
09-03 08:45Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SELL0.2$0.58
09-03 04:59Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SELL0.19$0.37
09-01 14:36Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.64$2.94
09-01 08:11Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?BUY0.8299999664$2.96