Fabada
0x01396c8b39e75c2e6829923573d9b01bf0bdecb1
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 2,025
- Open portfolio
- $290.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,025
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.004Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
- +$2.3kat 0.003Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$2.1kat 0.052US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.003Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
- +$1.4kat 0.021Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 08:55 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.515 | $3.24 |
| 04-28 08:54 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5159998824 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 07:33 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.104 | $2.49 |
| 04-12 00:02 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | BUY | 0.96 | $110.24 |
| 04-12 00:01 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | BUY | 0.96 | $95.77 |
| 04-11 23:58 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | SELL | 0.969 | $11.14 |
| 04-05 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $7.88 |
| 04-03 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $4.34 |
| 03-25 12:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.85 |
| 03-24 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.48822 | $118.25 |
| 03-24 10:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $9.11 |
| 03-24 00:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $21.72 |