Fulgurator
0x01309d49fd508ba7b2379967bdc7197e5b47274c
- Realised P&L
- $21.2k
- Volume
- $461.4k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $86.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.644Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.329Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.525Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$713.32at 0.967Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
- +$708.77at 0.915Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:16 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $32.87 |
| 10-30 14:16 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $294.30 |
| 10-30 02:10 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.5k |
| 10-29 21:36 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.968125 | $1.5k |
| 10-29 14:45 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.43 |
| 10-29 14:36 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.32 |
| 10-29 14:31 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-29 14:24 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 10-29 14:22 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-29 14:15 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.23 |
| 10-29 14:09 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 10-29 12:46 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $204.66 |
| 10-29 12:46 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $190.07 |
| 10-28 15:21 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.8k |
| 10-28 15:21 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.5k |