PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Fulgurator

0x01309d49fd508ba7b2379967bdc7197e5b47274c

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$138.2k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$13.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3740.280$3.9k$1.3k
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3700.205$2.4k$1.9k
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9100.935$1.9k+$50.00
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · No0.8630.940$1.4k+$112.10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0740.086$861.07+$118.98
Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? · No0.7570.700$771.27$63.62
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? · Yes0.8990.756$715.55$135.18
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7500.690$344.95$30.05
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · No0.3500.805$218.77+$123.65
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3530.280$168.00$44.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.2000.130$167.05$89.46
Government shutdown by October 1? · No0.5140.795$127.95+$45.13
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · Yes0.1720.175$60.06+$1.04
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? · Yes0.2990.195$34.54$18.46
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? · Yes0.4780.415$20.97$3.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:21Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?BUY0.8992988795$850.74
07-30 15:56Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?SELL0.1312734082$19.63
07-27 23:01Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?BUY0.9264656442$151.01
07-27 22:53Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?BUY0.75$75.00
07-27 22:53Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?BUY0.9057326719$319.50
07-27 22:52Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?BUY0.8330941977$943.75
07-27 16:40Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.2987321963$150.80
07-27 16:36Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?BUY0.95$9.50
07-27 16:36Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?BUY0.8987339635$26.62
07-24 14:11Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.631$372.82
07-24 10:10Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.2980907513$288.53
07-23 20:15Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.26$57.93
07-23 20:15Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.25$84.00
07-23 20:10Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2479929544$237.24
07-23 20:05Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2378494624$44.24