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Traders

Fulgurator

0x01309d49fd508ba7b2379967bdc7197e5b47274c

Realised P&L
$21.2k
Volume
$461.4k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$86.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3740.860$11.4k+$6.4k
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3540.860$8.3k+$4.9k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5500.438$8.1k−$2.1k
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · No0.5460.744$5.3k+$1.4k
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? · No0.9610.995$5.0k+$170.65
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.425$3.6k+$42.50
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.930$3.6k+$192.97
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7290.910$3.5k+$691.19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5870.845$3.4k+$1.0k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5490.435$3.3k−$865.34
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.3300.215$3.1k−$1.7k
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.705$2.8k+$340.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat? · No0.9400.968$2.5k+$72.24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8180.993$2.5k+$436.25
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8000.785$2.5k−$47.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:16Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.54$32.87
10-30 14:16Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.54$294.30
10-30 02:10Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.62$2.5k
10-29 21:36Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.968125$1.5k
10-29 14:45Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$3.43
10-29 14:36Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$4.32
10-29 14:31Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$2.40
10-29 14:24Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$2.94
10-29 14:22Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$2.45
10-29 14:15Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.47$4.23
10-29 14:09Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$3.50
10-29 12:46Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.46$204.66
10-29 12:46Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.46$190.07
10-28 15:21Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.8$1.8k
10-28 15:21Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.8$2.5k
Trader Fulgurator · PolyBot Pro