Marco2725
0x012b7b4b9c481bea57e338ed951c79bed8124745
- Realised P&L
- $-604.07
- Volume
- $286.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,254
- Open portfolio
- $846.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,254
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.630Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
- +$366.13at 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$225.67at 0.429Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
- +$59.51at 0.931Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$58.01at 0.978Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:16 | Spread: Türkiye (-4.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-22 20:14 | Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: Liechtenstein 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 20:14 | Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: Liechtenstein 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 20:13 | Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 20:13 | Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 09-22 20:12 | Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 09-22 10:00 | Spread: Wales (-3.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-22 10:00 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 09:59 | Norway vs. Denmark: Denmark 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 09:59 | Norway vs. Denmark: Denmark 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 09:48 | Portugal vs. Wales: Wales 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 09:48 | Portugal vs. Wales: Wales 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 09:47 | Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Wales? | BUY | 0.999 | $183.82 |
| 09-21 17:19 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 17:15 | Will JD Vance say "Social Security" during his rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.95 |