Marco2725
0x012b7b4b9c481bea57e338ed951c79bed8124745
- Realised P&L
- $15.52
- Volume
- $247.2k
- Markets traded
- 909
- Open portfolio
- $936.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded909
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.631Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
- +$366.13at 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$225.67at 0.429Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
- +$61.22at 0.929Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$59.75at 0.977Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:08 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 08-05 20:08 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 08-05 20:08 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on August 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 20:08 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 20:07 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 20:06 | Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 20:06 | Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 20:06 | Górnik Zabrze to win the second half? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 20:06 | Ferencvárosi TC to win the second half? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 19:51 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.05 |
| 08-05 19:50 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 19:50 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 19:49 | Sidiki Cherif: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 19:48 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 19:19 | Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |