Rjhats
0x01298e38b5efd4c9743a13fbbea63348b384b111
- Realised P&L
- $238.03
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $119.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.95at 0.050Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?
- +$51.00at 0.150Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$35.77at 0.014Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$32.61at 0.659Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?
- +$28.36at 0.006Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 00:51 | Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 42 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.84 | $75.60 |
| 08-26 01:30 | Will "Finding Emily" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $40.00 |
| 08-18 14:30 | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.096 | $1.02 |
| 07-18 12:46 | Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0085634768 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 08:54 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.230622858 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 04:45 | Will MrBeast get married by December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $10.20 |
| 03-10 21:30 | Will "Ballet" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 03:57 | Will "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 03-05 01:52 | Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 01:52 | Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 00:53 | Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 03-05 00:31 | Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 03-05 00:28 | Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 03-02 03:14 | Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $110.00 |
| 02-22 21:52 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |