ManneMarco
0x0124dab2abf41958c501e2c71f655b31dab6473a
- Realised P&L
- $-641.09
- Volume
- $123.4k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $58.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$370.36at 0.205UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$345.99at 0.131Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$239.27at 0.030Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$226.48at 0.183Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$156.43at 0.249UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:18 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:17 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.036095584 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 15:12 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0185678155 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:11 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:11 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 12:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.23 |
| 09-26 12:00 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.0133504647 | $6.97 |
| 09-25 08:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:53 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.0184969145 | $11.75 |
| 09-17 17:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3368357656 | $54.29 |
| 09-17 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $58.33 |
| 09-15 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1817092197 | $55.79 |
| 09-15 07:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $55.37 |
| 09-10 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999993 | $45.74 |