PolyBot

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Traders

MenacingTurtle

0x012117729450d19b22018ad8c6e9357bcd34f722

Realised P&L
$115.4k
Volume
$8.51M
Markets traded
551
Open portfolio
$12.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded551
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:59Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?BUY0.001$0.40
10-01 04:31Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.001$0.62
10-01 03:29Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.9$12.60
10-01 03:29Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.89$44.50
10-01 03:29Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.9$29.70
10-01 03:12Will Chicago Cubs advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.15$0.09
10-01 02:32Will Chicago Cubs advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.77$261.80
10-01 01:44Will New York Yankees advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.9$18.00
10-01 00:28Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesBUY0.4341211938$28.80
09-30 23:12Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.9095668558$839.97
09-30 23:12Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.89$44.50
09-30 23:12Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.88$51.34
09-30 23:12Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.9009754781$200.24
09-30 23:12Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.89$20.47
09-30 23:12Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.8611446724$82.68