MenacingTurtle
0x012117729450d19b22018ad8c6e9357bcd34f722
- Realised P&L
- $115.4k
- Volume
- $8.51M
- Markets traded
- 551
- Open portfolio
- $12.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded551
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.1kat 0.410Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.7kat 0.624Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
- +$12.0kat 0.635Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.6kat 0.000Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.2kat 0.000Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:59 | Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-01 04:31 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 10-01 03:29 | Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.60 |
| 10-01 03:29 | Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-01 03:29 | Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9 | $29.70 |
| 10-01 03:12 | Will Chicago Cubs advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.09 |
| 10-01 02:32 | Will Chicago Cubs advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.77 | $261.80 |
| 10-01 01:44 | Will New York Yankees advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 00:28 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4341211938 | $28.80 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9095668558 | $839.97 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.88 | $51.34 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9009754781 | $200.24 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.89 | $20.47 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.8611446724 | $82.68 |