jishud
0x011fe7fe01881d27df55872df5bf8b9b48a9c796
- Realised P&L
- $14.81
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $96.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.500 | 0.968 | $76.43 | +$36.93 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No | 0.932 | 0.966 | $8.69 | +$0.30 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.805 | $6.44 | −$0.28 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.041 | $2.05 | −$0.45 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.170 | $2.04 | −$2.06 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.226 | 0.086 | $0.43 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.27at 0.500Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$30.94at 0.527Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
- +$13.99at 0.964Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
- +$5.66at 0.230Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
- +$4.17at 0.470Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 23:28 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 06-15 20:13 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 06-14 07:28 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.908 | $6.36 |
| 06-13 03:35 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 06-08 10:57 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 06-05 16:18 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.339 | $2.03 |
| 05-22 23:03 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $9.48 |
| 05-22 23:02 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.47 |
| 05-22 23:02 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.561 | $5.61 |
| 05-22 23:02 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.932 | $8.39 |
| 05-22 23:01 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.069 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 20:29 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 04-28 00:21 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 04-23 22:00 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.799 | $4.00 |
| 04-23 21:59 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.226 | $1.13 |