PolyBot

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Traders

solar-flare26

0x011b4e4b33e979a16790f1f41af3adf4e8b60d7a

Realised P&L
$-173.71
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$0.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.6500.125$0.96−$4.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 7? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 14? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$9.43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$6.60
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 17? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$8.53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 10? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$7.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$5.41
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$7.24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$9.69
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$5.08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18? · No0.1770.000$0.00−$8.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$10.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 20:16Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 20?BUY0.5399999933$8.00
10-20 20:16Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20?BUY0.6499999878$8.00
10-20 19:11Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20?BUY0.6699999718$7.13
10-20 19:11Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?BUY0.6599999522$8.00
10-20 18:46Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?BUY0.64$8.00
10-20 18:29Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?BUY0.7399999809$5.41
10-20 17:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?BUY0.4699999779$5.53
10-20 16:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?BUY0.8099999813$5.20
10-20 10:38Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?BUY0.7979999896$5.83
10-20 10:09Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?BUY0.64$7.66
10-20 10:09Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.7399999901$7.45
10-20 04:21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?BUY0.7899999689$5.08
10-20 04:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?BUY0.6699999597$5.16
10-19 17:52Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?BUY0.809999999$7.82
10-18 17:16Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?BUY0.679999996$6.72