solar-flare26
0x011b4e4b33e979a16790f1f41af3adf4e8b60d7a
- Realised P&L
- $-173.71
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.09at 0.845Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$18.57at 0.350US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$15.73at 0.659Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$15.26at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 3?
- +$14.33at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.5399999933 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.6499999878 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.6699999718 | $7.13 |
| 10-20 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.6599999522 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.7399999809 | $5.41 |
| 10-20 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.4699999779 | $5.53 |
| 10-20 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.8099999813 | $5.20 |
| 10-20 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.7979999896 | $5.83 |
| 10-20 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.66 |
| 10-20 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.7399999901 | $7.45 |
| 10-20 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.7899999689 | $5.08 |
| 10-20 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.6699999597 | $5.16 |
| 10-19 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.809999999 | $7.82 |
| 10-18 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.679999996 | $6.72 |