Rodoil
0x011598d44e4cfebf985da9eb68920bc4694dac79
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $213.7k
- Markets traded
- 911
- Open portfolio
- $0.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded911
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gleidson Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.002 | $0.43 | −$38.57 |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? · No | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$897.48at 0.257Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$501.25at 0.397MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$255.93at 0.461Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?
- +$187.00at 0.673Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
- +$115.44at 0.882Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 13:49 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.198999998 | $75.86 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.801 | $78.47 |
| 08-30 11:49 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.8369999991 | $82.00 |
| 08-30 11:46 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.1646692795 | $84.45 |
| 08-28 12:31 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.3968798222 | $203.54 |
| 08-28 12:31 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.6501000684 | $209.19 |
| 08-28 12:09 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.6496065598 | $209.03 |
| 08-28 12:05 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.3666901406 | $215.16 |
| 08-24 16:35 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.5414092324 | $226.88 |
| 08-24 16:26 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.48 | $33.00 |
| 08-24 16:26 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.4749999967 | $47.00 |
| 08-22 20:26 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.7039688902 | $668.67 |
| 08-08 01:14 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6779999941 | $15.97 |
| 08-08 01:13 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.076833149 | $15.28 |
| 08-07 20:21 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5681890755 | $453.76 |