Rodoil
0x011598d44e4cfebf985da9eb68920bc4694dac79
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $194.2k
- Markets traded
- 897
- Open portfolio
- $956.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded897
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.675 | $956.55 | +$255.89 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.07 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$901.97at 0.254Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$514.15at 0.387MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$255.93at 0.461Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?
- +$186.99at 0.673Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
- +$110.54at 0.644Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:54 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.6099999951 | $35.00 |
| 08-01 21:42 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6499999982 | $37.00 |
| 08-01 20:34 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5555919961 | $121.00 |
| 07-31 20:50 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $95.03 |
| 07-31 20:50 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.7876 | $98.45 |
| 07-31 20:23 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.22 | $17.93 |
| 07-31 20:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.2199999958 | $33.14 |
| 07-31 20:22 | Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.2 | $19.26 |
| 07-31 20:19 | Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.2699999932 | $26.00 |
| 07-31 20:19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.2 | $28.35 |
| 07-31 20:19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.2299999918 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 18:09 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.8 | $43.00 |
| 07-31 17:49 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4622950491 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 17:21 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $40.00 |
| 07-31 16:45 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.8 | $57.00 |