0x011175c87089797b1c5bebcfb6d501b4c51d60f7
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.833 | 0.961 | $1.5k | +$192.83 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.099 | $334.59 | −$120.87 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$458.70 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.001 | $4.17 | −$184.34 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.001 | $4.00 | −$266.48 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.001 | $4.00 | −$216.26 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.4kat 0.773Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.1kat 0.641Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$404.23at 0.966Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$198.35at 0.806Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$154.66at 0.938Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:26 | Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1733502414 | $155.46 |
| 09-20 06:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 17:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.0k |
| 09-16 17:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.9k |
| 09-16 17:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $31.9k |
| 09-16 17:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.25 |
| 09-16 17:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $586.90 |
| 09-16 17:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.0k |
| 09-15 06:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $148.46 |
| 09-13 02:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.0k |
| 09-12 09:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $290.51 |
| 09-12 09:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $7.7k |
| 09-11 12:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.3k |
| 09-11 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21098459 | $4.2k |
| 09-11 05:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.0k |