nats0093
0x010907006851d8c275c100087eef26da716964bd
- Realised P&L
- $-796.77
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $180.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $48.44 | +$0.00 |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.950 | 0.956 | $47.68 | +$0.30 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.961 | $47.41 | −$0.12 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.955 | $37.43 | −$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.932Anthropic acquired before 2027?
- +$1.61at 0.950Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.99at 0.972Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- +$0.94at 0.942Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
- +$0.82at 0.964Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 11:27 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.964 | $21.54 |
| 05-13 11:06 | Pacers vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.72 | $804.96 |