PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

leajun

0x010295719d5e38c9061ed98f7c6f494f446b32af

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$225.7k
Markets traded
531
Open portfolio
$23.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded531
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 23:48Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7599998541$5.00
07-28 23:48Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.1359223077$5.00
07-28 23:48Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.2549999766$6.00
06-13 09:08Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1426016734$30.34
06-07 10:42Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1399376293$30.45
06-07 10:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.84$11.05
06-01 11:32US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
06-01 11:31Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1589999977$50.00
05-18 21:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.605734$60.57
05-18 21:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.83$249.00
05-18 09:21Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.928$185.60
05-18 09:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.62$247.99
05-18 09:21MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.346025$69.21
05-17 07:13Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.68$48.57
05-17 07:11MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.66$264.00
Trader leajun · PolyBot