supernova5858
0x0101eaa27d50d0cdcc58597c5c87aef22eea3728
- Realised P&L
- $-165.76
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.004 | $0.15 | −$19.53 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.834 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
| Senators vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.68 |
| Magic vs. Celtics · Magic | 0.864 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.16 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 · Over | 0.437 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.15 |
| Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.67 |
| Suns vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.85 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 · Over | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.04at 0.510Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
- +$43.39at 0.531Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
- +$41.08at 0.427Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
- +$38.60at 0.560Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
- +$37.72at 0.570Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:12 | Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.23 | $8.36 |
| 09-22 00:36 | Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.12 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 00:24 | Senators vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $19.68 |
| 09-22 00:21 | Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.1 | $3.64 |
| 09-22 00:20 | Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $19.63 |
| 09-22 00:12 | Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $19.67 |
| 09-21 23:36 | Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $19.67 |
| 09-21 23:14 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $19.67 |
| 09-21 23:12 | Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $19.67 |
| 09-21 23:12 | Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $19.63 |
| 06-28 20:35 | PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5 | BUY | 0.78 | $9.87 |
| 06-28 20:16 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.24 |
| 06-28 19:05 | PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5 | SELL | 0.2 | $3.08 |
| 06-28 19:05 | PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5 | SELL | 0.11 | $1.90 |
| 06-28 19:05 | PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5 | SELL | 0.11 | $1.96 |