PollyEmperor
0x01019e228bff8e0b7cc6155c0b54eebe18816846
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $84.7k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$599.76at 0.264Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?
- +$262.96at 0.146Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
- +$227.57at 0.566Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?
- +$220.19at 0.088Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?
- +$216.26at 0.638Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:51 | Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.6975320829 | $339.17 |
| 10-11 13:32 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.865 | $86.50 |
| 10-11 13:31 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.9326525199 | $351.61 |
| 10-11 13:31 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.88 | $15.84 |
| 10-11 13:31 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.7865294118 | $267.42 |
| 10-11 13:28 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.7853409091 | $69.11 |
| 10-11 13:27 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.85 | $216.99 |
| 10-11 13:26 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0542987641 | $25.26 |
| 10-11 13:25 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0689282371 | $35.35 |
| 10-11 13:19 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 10-11 13:13 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3 | $129.74 |
| 10-11 13:12 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4142432729 | $335.76 |
| 10-11 13:11 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-11 13:10 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5184975369 | $421.02 |
| 10-11 13:10 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4036842105 | $46.02 |