im-poor-boy
0x00fa762341e42334f1475cd3fb6be1a08a1c6b1e
- Realised P&L
- $-18.11
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $14.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $5.10 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No | 0.970 | 1.000 | $5.05 | +$0.15 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.445 | $2.27 | −$2.33 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No | 0.197 | 0.050 | $1.24 | −$3.66 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No | 0.980 | 0.050 | $0.25 | −$4.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No | 0.570 | 0.015 | $0.13 | −$4.77 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41at 0.590Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9599999373 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5699999488 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.969999998 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 13:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.60 |
| 09-18 12:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 12:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.1968032722 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 04:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.60 |
| 07-10 21:07 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9975 | $3.45 |
| 07-10 19:42 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5774999552 | $2.00 |