DemonTwo
0x00f8f0ce79b95e1e2d137c7c8ce6bcc1f6a65e7f
- Realised P&L
- $-968.30
- Volume
- $80.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,512
- Open portfolio
- $21.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,512
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.62at 0.032Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$31.89at 0.040Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
- +$23.50at 0.329Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$22.03at 0.265Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$21.94at 0.035Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:38 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.10 |
| 10-20 10:58 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 10:49 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.8499999955 | $18.80 |
| 10-07 08:06 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.62 |
| 10-06 17:56 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.98 |
| 10-06 17:42 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9659999985 | $9.32 |
| 10-06 12:58 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.9903840246 | $12.89 |
| 10-06 12:09 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9356162324 | $12.19 |
| 09-29 12:40 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | SELL | 0.989 | $18.08 |
| 09-29 12:21 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $17.55 |
| 09-29 12:21 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $17.55 |
| 09-23 20:20 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.57 |
| 09-23 20:18 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.78 |
| 09-23 03:05 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.59 |
| 09-22 12:55 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.891 | $7.64 |