0x00f7713020d51d602479b92b65821f76fea328e4
- Realised P&L
- $5.51
- Volume
- $111.61
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $8.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.415 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.850 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? · Up | 0.600 | 0.710 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.755 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.725 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.275 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.200 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.95at 0.259Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:29 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:49 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:59 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:26 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 03:51 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:03 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:23 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |