0x00e8e487c7d368832c6920a8db1169d08fa00039
0x00e8e487c7d368832c6920a8db1169d08fa00039
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $561.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,420
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,420
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$3.90 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$4.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.091Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$959.56at 0.087Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$369.30at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$280.93at 0.324Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$272.11at 0.074Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Gaston
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 20:00 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 19:54 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0375 | $4.80 |
| 09-27 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.2024617506 | $80.00 |
| 09-27 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0825557801 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3159301863 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 23:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.5352509977 | $25.48 |
| 09-27 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $18.91 |
| 09-27 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 20:28 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Portugal? | SELL | 0.501 | $35.76 |
| 09-27 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $182.14 |
| 09-27 20:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $6.33 |
| 09-27 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |