bonkler
0x00c7823627e3eab01c8dc502314bf584fd52bb17
- Realised P&L
- $-16.2k
- Volume
- $359.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.185 | $8.7k | −$1.3k |
| Santos vs. Yoo · Yoo | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 241.5 · Under | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Ankalaev vs. Pereira · Ankalaev | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Rockets vs. Heat · Rockets | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.761Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$576.20at 0.637Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$515.15at 0.660Hornets vs. Heat
- +$408.45at 0.710Hornets vs. Heat
- +$179.40at 0.700Clippers vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 16:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.213843163 | $10.0k |
| 05-11 00:27 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $1000.00 |
| 04-30 04:46 | Rockets vs. Lakers | SELL | 0.0016000011 | $8.89 |
| 04-30 01:54 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.5999999999 | $2.3k |
| 04-30 01:39 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6 | $1000.00 |
| 02-28 19:42 | Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $250.00 |
| 02-28 19:42 | Rockets vs. Heat | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $500.00 |
| 12-20 01:45 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.0725482624 | $2.8k |
| 12-20 01:45 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.0333077445 | $1.2k |
| 12-20 01:44 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.7615259516 | $10.0k |
| 12-20 01:43 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.3877118227 | $1000.00 |
| 12-14 23:19 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.9k |
| 12-02 04:34 | Clippers vs. Heat | SELL | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 12-02 00:01 | Clippers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.7 | $420.00 |
| 11-08 00:28 | Hornets vs. Heat | BUY | 0.7099999999 | $1000.00 |