Simoel997
0x00c46258190c82a9f547bd9a5334e1e7f2457826
- Realised P&L
- $-9.6k
- Volume
- $206.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $166.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.099 | $149.72 | +$12.37 |
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.082 | $16.30 | +$6.30 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.50at 0.286Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$10.68at 0.487Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$-9.6kat 0.125Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 19:41 | Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 19:40 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 19:40 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 09:41 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.0031676418 | $60.57 |
| 03-01 13:43 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.0160026165 | $184.03 |
| 02-27 00:57 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.016 | $183.33 |
| 02-03 15:46 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.029 | $156.49 |
| 02-03 12:57 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.03 | $180.00 |
| 02-03 12:54 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.0312930567 | $187.76 |
| 02-02 13:49 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.037826974 | $189.13 |
| 01-29 00:51 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.042 | $75.60 |
| 01-20 20:20 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.0879999553 | $1.67 |
| 01-20 01:35 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.1199999995 | $220.00 |
| 01-20 01:31 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.1197782104 | $300.00 |
| 01-20 00:19 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.1172022664 | $300.00 |