PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

56fgh4j15g

0x00b5afdbb6ba5eaca102738c70cfe3e5bafb1b11

Realised P&L
$-16.45
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
273
Open portfolio
$338.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded273
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5701.000$100.00+$43.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.575$28.75+$1.75
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.545$27.25+$0.25
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.405$20.25−$3.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.385$19.25−$5.25
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8800.880$17.60+$0.00
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.855$17.10−$0.50
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? · No0.8800.725$14.50−$3.10
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.630$12.60−$3.60
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7900.625$12.50−$3.30
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · No0.7100.595$11.90−$2.30
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.7100.535$10.70−$3.50
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.500$10.00−$4.20
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.475$9.50−$1.50
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.435$8.70−$8.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:58Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.76$15.20
09-15 16:18Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.65$13.00
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-12 22:07Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
09-02 22:00Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.8$14.25
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$0.14
08-23 14:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
08-20 07:23Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.1825$3.65
08-19 14:38Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.83$16.60
08-19 03:32Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.37505$7.50
08-19 03:32Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.63$12.60
08-18 23:57Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.89$17.80
08-18 04:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.478$9.56
08-18 04:13Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 18:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.29$2.03