PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shishi49

0x00b1e8fc432350670aa5436d9e28e59542cf528f

Realised P&L
$51.52
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$112.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.6400.675$52.73+$2.73
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.7000.705$50.36+$0.36
Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.195$9.75−$0.25
Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6350.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 07:43Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2$10.00
10-05 07:42Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.64$50.00
10-05 07:39Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.7$50.00
10-04 06:22Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5099999906$20.00
10-04 06:18Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
10-04 06:16Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4599999951$15.00
10-04 06:16Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2299999975$15.00
10-03 08:48Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
10-03 08:22Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.7599999951$31.00
10-03 08:09Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.6699999971$75.00
10-02 20:29Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?BUY0.629999995$25.00
10-02 10:51Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6299999989$100.00
10-01 19:38Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.15$2.00
10-01 15:21Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-01 15:21Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.699999993$20.00