shishi49
0x00b1e8fc432350670aa5436d9e28e59542cf528f
- Realised P&L
- $51.52
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $112.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.675 | $52.73 | +$2.73 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.705 | $50.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $9.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.93at 0.648Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
- +$72.78at 0.818Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?
- +$35.70at 0.681Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?
- +$32.33at 0.612Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
- +$17.20at 0.472Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:43 | Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 07:42 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 07:39 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 06:22 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 06:18 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 06:16 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 06:16 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 08:48 | Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 08:22 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.7599999951 | $31.00 |
| 10-03 08:09 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $75.00 |
| 10-02 20:29 | Will France vs. Italy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 10:51 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:38 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 15:21 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 15:21 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |