tudasudasina
0x00ac8fe029d0da824d6f134339932b5a3fb1cf0d
- Realised P&L
- $-192.46
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $157.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.944 | 0.936 | $51.42 | −$0.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.976 | $50.75 | +$1.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.981 | $49.02 | −$0.13 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.974 | $6.33 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$660.92at 0.380Mets vs. Nationals
- +$578.20at 0.510Athletics vs. Cardinals
- +$573.75at 0.490Cubs vs. Blue Jays
- +$352.98at 0.630Braves vs. Phillies
- +$292.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-05 10:43 | Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-12-05? | BUY | 0.49 | $476.28 |
| 08-28 12:18 | Braves vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.63 | $601.02 |
| 08-26 06:28 | Braves vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.47 | $566.35 |
| 08-01 07:25 | Twins vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.47 | $87.89 |
| 05-16 08:23 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $520.00 |