0x00A878f6819B5bAbBA085a2Bf2ca91dB138446eD-1789150337158
0x00a878f6819b5babba085a2bf2ca91db138446ed
- Realised P&L
- $18.30
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 13m? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.115 | $3.45 | +$2.55 |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.545 | $1.74 | +$1.65 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.014 | $1.60 | +$0.53 |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.63at 0.050Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
- +$0.89at 0.050Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
- +$0.33at 0.022Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?