PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00A7b9f9536c5d83a7Ce9c2D482b04568ecDfEee-1771607332128

0x00a7b9f9536c5d83a7ce9c2d482b04568ecdfeee

Realised P&L
$-10.88
Volume
$242.58
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$0.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 6m? · Yes0.0600.045$0.75$0.25
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? · Yes0.0800.005$0.07$0.93
Will Trump name "Leavitt" in April? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$2.00
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? · No0.1550.000$0.00$2.00
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia · Slovakia0.0490.000$0.00$3.00
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mark Rutte say "Step Up" during his speech on April 9? · No0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable? · No0.3900.000$0.00$2.00
Warriors vs. Knicks · Warriors0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Fantastic" during events with Rutte? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Republican" during NYC rally? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 01:39Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.08$1.00
09-20 01:19Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 6m?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-19 15:25Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-19 14:59Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
04-13 01:31Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally?SELL0.001$0.00
04-12 18:12Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
04-12 18:11Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Republican" during NYC rally?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
04-11 14:04Will Bernie or Mamdani say "One Percent" 2+ times during NYC rally?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-09 15:12Will Mark Rutte say "Step Up" during his speech on April 9?BUY0.25$1.00
04-08 18:24Will Trump name "Leavitt" in April?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
04-08 18:01Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?BUY0.64$1.00
04-08 18:00Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?SELL0.993$1.84
04-08 17:59Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing?SELL0.001$0.00
04-08 17:59Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?SELL0.994$2.26
04-08 17:59Will Leavitt say "Egg" during the next White House press briefing?SELL0.001$0.00