0x00A7b9f9536c5d83a7Ce9c2D482b04568ecDfEee-1771607332128
0x00a7b9f9536c5d83a7ce9c2d482b04568ecdfeee
- Realised P&L
- $-10.88
- Volume
- $242.58
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.120Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?
- +$1.57at 0.370Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
- +$1.33at 0.430Will Leavitt say "Regime" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
- +$1.33at 0.430Sharks vs. Canadiens
- +$1.26at 0.440Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:39 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 01:19 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 6m? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:25 | Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:59 | Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 01:31 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 04-12 18:12 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 18:11 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Republican" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 04-11 14:04 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "One Percent" 2+ times during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 15:12 | Will Mark Rutte say "Step Up" during his speech on April 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 18:24 | Will Trump name "Leavitt" in April? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 18:01 | Will Powell say "War" during April press conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 18:00 | Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.84 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.26 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Leavitt say "Egg" during the next White House press briefing? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |